DATA SOURCES
A personal project by Tre. Every model here is experimental and none of it is betting advice.
THE ODDS APIMoneyline, spread and totals from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, BetRivers, Bovada and others — pulled twice daily, in American odds.
PRO FOOTBALL REFShout out Pro Football Reference — the schedule, results and team stats behind the NFL model.
NFLVERSEThe nflverse games file — every NFL game since 1999 with scores, rest days and the closing line — is the spine of the NFL Elo. Only the scores and rest days reach the ratings; the line is kept for grading the market, never for making a pick.
CFBFASTR-DATAESPN-derived college football schedules and results, 2001–present, with per-season conference membership and FBS/FCS tags — the spine of the college Elo. ESPN’s public scoreboard fills in the trailing week’s finals.
MLB RESULTSDaily scores and season-to-date records feed the Elo ratings and the rest-of-season Monte Carlo.
Odds snapshots are committed to the repo twice daily, so each game's opener is the first snapshot it appeared in.